Emerging Risks

Emerging Risks

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War-weary Russia is falling apart
War-weary Russia is falling apart
No one can know for certain how the current dilemma created by Putin’s military misadventure will play out. One thing, however, is increasingly clear: The trendlines are not good, either for Russia…
·thehill.com·
War-weary Russia is falling apart
OPCW Confirms 70-Plus Undeclared Assad Chemical Weapons Found Across Syria
OPCW Confirms 70-Plus Undeclared Assad Chemical Weapons Found Across Syria
OPCW inspectors working with Syrian authorities found more than 70 undeclared Assad-era chemical weapons and sarin precursor materials at three sites in May 2026; 18 former regime officials have been arrested.
·semperincolumem.com·
OPCW Confirms 70-Plus Undeclared Assad Chemical Weapons Found Across Syria
About That Taiwan ‘Thucydides Trap’ - WSJ
About That Taiwan ‘Thucydides Trap’ - WSJ
His real point was warning Mr. Trump not to risk a war by interfering with China’s designs to retake Taiwan—by force if necessary.
·archive.md·
About That Taiwan ‘Thucydides Trap’ - WSJ
Could the Third Gulf War Become World War III?
Could the Third Gulf War Become World War III?
As the war between the United States, Israel, and Iran continues, it is becoming harder to treat it as a self-contained Middle Eastern conflict. The signs increasingly point to a growing intersection
·realcleardefense.com·
Could the Third Gulf War Become World War III?
China’s Youth Have Started a Silent Revolt
China’s Youth Have Started a Silent Revolt
China’s young people are no longer protesting loudly — many are simply opting out. In this video, we explore Beijing’s growing fear over China’s “lying flat”...
·youtube.com·
China’s Youth Have Started a Silent Revolt
Russia’s Economy Is on the Brink of Collapse
Russia’s Economy Is on the Brink of Collapse
Putin is the Head of a Russian State on the Brink of Economic Collapse: Leonid Putin, meet Vladimir Brezhnev. Serious Russian economists are increasingly of the opinion that Russia is in deep trouble and that Putin’s policies are bringing it to the point of collapse. In that sense, Putin’s Russia is following in the footsteps […]
·19fortyfive.com·
Russia’s Economy Is on the Brink of Collapse
Are America and China Condemned to Repeat History? | Foreign Affairs
Are America and China Condemned to Repeat History? | Foreign Affairs
“This world is unlike anything any of us have experienced in our lifetimes,” argues Westad, a professor at Yale and a specialist in modern international and global history. “But it does look quite a bit like the world of more than a hundred years ago, from the late nineteenth century to 1914.”
·foreignaffairs.com·
Are America and China Condemned to Repeat History? | Foreign Affairs
The Next World War: The New Age of Global Conflict
The Next World War: The New Age of Global Conflict
At its core, The Next World War argues that the post Cold War illusion of peace has collapsed. Apps describes a world where great power competition has returned with renewed intensity driven primarily by tensions between the United States, China, and Russia. Rather than presenting war as a distant or hypothetical possibility, Apps frames it as a credible risk within the coming decade. A risk that is already shaping policy, military planning, and everyday life.
·wavellroom.com·
The Next World War: The New Age of Global Conflict
Iran’s Regime Has Changed—for the Worse - WSJ
Iran’s Regime Has Changed—for the Worse - WSJ
“The war changed the regime—and not in a good way,” said Danny Citrinowicz, who formerly headed the Iran desk for Israeli military intelligence. “We created a reality that is worse than what Iranians were facing before the war.”
·archive.md·
Iran’s Regime Has Changed—for the Worse - WSJ
Iran’s Next Move Is the Bomb—If the Regime Survives
Iran’s Next Move Is the Bomb—If the Regime Survives
As the United States and Israel continue to decimate Iran’s conventional capabilities, it becomes clearer that their campaign cannot stop until at least one of two objectives is achieved: the co
·realcleardefense.com·
Iran’s Next Move Is the Bomb—If the Regime Survives