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"The world today is not heading for a new Cold War but rather a dangerous multipolar scramble like the early 20th century."
Core Analogy The current U.S.-China rivalry strongly resembles the pre-1914 world: multiple great powers in economic and technological competition, rising nationalism, weakening globalization, regional conflicts, and poor mutual understanding among leaders.
Like 1914, small unresolved issues risk spiraling into catastrophic great-power conflict; World War I killed ~40 million and was largely unforeseen.
What happens next in Iran?
Tactical win, strategic failure.
The Iran War Expert: I Simulated The Iran War for 20 Years. Here’s What Happens Next - YouTube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xcXfcXJvMXg