The world is sleepwalking into a new nuclear arms race.
As arms-control treaties hashed out over decades lapse, countries that formerly rejected possessing nuclear weapons are starting to reconsider. The Doomsday Clock is set at 85 seconds to midnight, the closest it’s ever been to the symbolic hour of the apocalypse.
Humanity is living in an era of permanent crisis and continuous conflict ... .
Societies are becoming desensitized ... .
Conventional World War III has not begun, but some psychological and structural conditions for a wider conflict may already be present:
- the globalization of insecurity
- economic disruption
- technological competition
- erosion of international norms
Current pressures include major-power competition across regions, record military spending, routine sanctions, cyberattacks, information warfare, AI, and overlapping regional wars involving the US, China, Russia, Europe, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Türkiye, and others. The normalization of continuous geopolitical confrontation echoes pre-global-war atmospheres.
Assertive nationalism is returning alongside rapid military-technology changes ... .
Digitalization brings unprecedented information access and connectivity but also creates “compassion fatigue” and information overload.
In short, Iran’s weakening network is colliding with Syria’s emerging post-Assad order. On one side: Syria, the United States, Turkey, and Kurdish forces. On the other: The PMF—and supporting it, Iran. The lineup resembles a historic Sunni-Shia divide, but the lack of a common endgame makes the situation more dangerous.
